Monday, March 10, 2008

Lawyers Demand Release of Judges in Pakistan

Aitzaz Ahsan, center, the president of the Supreme Court Bar Association, during a protest in Islamabad on Saturday. (Anjum Naveed/Associated Press)
RAWALPINDI, Pakistan: Mar. 9th. (NY Times) — Beside racks of hanging meat and barrows of oranges in the alleys of the old town here, Aitzaz Ahsan, leader of the lawyers movement in Pakistan, was back on the campaign trail on Saturday, calling for the release of top justices from house arrest. Fresh from being released after four months in detention, Mr. Ahsan said the recent parliamentary elections were not enough proof that President Pervez Musharraf's government was dedicated to democracy. He insisted that the next step had to be the release of the former chief justice, Iftikhar Muhammad Chaudhry, who was fired along with the rest of the Supreme Court during a state of emergency imposed by Mr. Musharraf on Nov. 3. Mr. Chaudhry and nine other justices remain under house arrest. “Our struggle is to make Pakistan a state where the judiciary is independent, and what Musharraf did to the chief justice is an example of how under him no judge is ever independent,” Mr. Ahsan said to a crowd of lawyers who chanted for Mr. Musharraf’s resignation. The warmth of the reception for Mr. Ahsan and his rallying cry for Mr. Chaudhry was evident Saturday, with shoppers and storekeepers smiling as they recognized him, stepping up to shake his hand and showering him with pink rose petals.

The rally here on Saturday was part of a series of marketplace demonstrations between the capital, Islamabad, and this nearby city to show support for the chief justice. The lawyers are planning a week of demonstrations on behalf of the justices, called Black Flag Week after the protesters’ flags and armbands. But the rallies, which are also a show against Mr. Musharraf, are sending another message, too: that the lawyers are not willing to take the back seat to their partners in the opposition. The recent parliamentary elections resulted in a huge victory for the opposition Pakistan Peoples Party, the party of the former prime minister, Benadir Bhutto, who was assassinated. Mr. Ahsan is a senior party member, but is now at loggerheads with the party over the issue of the release of the chief justice and the restoration of an independent judiciary. Mr. Chaudhry and his family have been stuck inside their home in Islamabad behind barricades of barbed wire and rows of policemen, with only furtive telephone connections to the outside world. Mr. Ahsan insists that little more is needed to resolve Mr. Chaudhry’s situation than for the police cordon to be removed from around his home. Once that is done, the judge has pledged to walk to the Supreme Court building not far from his house. An executive order could then be written reinstating the chief justice, the lawyers say.

But Asif Ali Zardari, the leader of the Pakistan Peoples Party and the widower of Ms. Bhutto, contends that the restoration of the judiciary and Mr. Chaudhry should be decided by the new Parliament, a far longer process. Between those positions, the Pakistan Muslim League-N, led by Nawaz Sharif, a former prime minister and an opponent of Mr. Musharraf, argues that a resolution calling for the return of the full bench of judges should be passed by the new Parliament as soon it convenes. Behind the scenes, the United States is trying to dampen enthusiasm for Mr. Chaudhry, whom Washington sees as too much of a Musharraf opponent. The United States ambassador, Anne Patterson, met with Mr. Zardari, and suggested that the Supreme Court judges except Mr. Chaudhry should be reinstated, said Shahbaz Sharif, a senior member of the Pakistan Muslim League-N. In a meeting with Ms. Patterson this week, Tariq Mahmood, a former president of the Supreme Court Bar Association, said he told her that the United States should “appreciate the results of the elections” in which secular political parties received an overwhelming vote. He said he told the ambassador: “My message was very simple: You love democracy, you live in a democracy, why do you want to deprive us? You are always supporting the dictator.”

Mr. Mahmood said he got the impression that the United States was more concerned with Mr. Musharraf and the fight against terrorism than with an independent judiciary. “As far as the war on terror is concerned, this can be better fought by the parties,” Mr. Mahmood said. “This perception that the Americans have is slightly different to how we are.” For the past year, Mr. Chaudhry has been a rallying point for the opposition in Pakistan. On March 9 last year, Mr. Musharraf dismissed Mr. Chaudhry, but after a lengthy campaign by lawyers in Pakistan’s major cities and after legal arguments led by Mr. Ahsan, the chief justice was reinstated on July 20. Then, after a series of judicial decisions that displeased his government, Mr. Musharraf, nervous about how Mr. Chaudhry would rule on the legality of his own October re-election, fired Mr. Chaudhry and the other judges on Nov. 3.
By Janed Perlez
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Sharing Clean Technologies With Developing Countries

VATICAN CITY, 7 MAR 2008 (VIS) - Made public today was the text of an address delivered by Archbishop Celestino Migliore, Holy See permanent observer to the United Nations in New York, during the 62nd U.N. General Assembly which met on 11 and 12 February to consider the theme: "Addressing Climate Change: the United Nations and the World at Work". "The use of 'clean technologies'", said the archbishop speaking English, "is an important component of sustainable development.


To help industrialising countries avoid the errors that others committed in the past, highly industrialised countries should share with the former their more advanced and cleaner technologies. Moreover, markets must be encouraged to patronise 'green economics' and not to sustain demand for goods whose very production causes environmental degradation. Consumers must be aware that their consumption patterns have direct impact on the health of the environment".

"Indeed, the challenge of climate change is at once individual, local, national and global. Accordingly, it urges a multilevel co-ordinated response, with mitigation and adaptation programmes simultaneously individual, local, national and global in their vision and scope. ... It demands a global alliance for the adoption of a co-ordinated international political strategy towards a healthy environment for all".

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Monday, March 3, 2008

Kenya Rival Is Cautiously Optimistic

NAIROBI, Kenya: Mar. 4th. (NY Times) — Raila Odinga is a happy man. On Sunday, he went to the beach and was pictured on the front page of Kenya’s leading newspaper, The Daily Nation, lounging by the waves, wearing shorts and argyle socks. On Monday, as he polished off a bowl of vegetable soup and sautéed fish at the Nairobi Club, Mr. Odinga seemed relaxed, chatty and upbeat — for the first time in weeks. “Better half a loaf than no bread,” Mr. Odinga said of a power-sharing agreement struck on Thursday that marries his political party to his rivals in the Kenyan government. Mr. Odinga, 63, is Kenya’s top opposition leader, and his decision to drop his claim to Kenya’s presidency — which he says he rightly won — and to accept the newly created position of prime minister has helped pull this country back from the brink of chaos.

Last week, the governing party agreed to form a coalition government with Mr. Odinga’s party, a breakthrough in a dangerous political crisis that erupted in December with a flawed presidential election. The incumbent, Mwai Kibaki, was declared the winner, despite widespread evidence of vote rigging. The election set off weeks of bloodshed, destruction and ethnic balkanization, which for a moment put Kenya’s entire future in doubt. The political violence has mostly calmed down, though on Sunday night more than 10 people were killed in western Kenya in clashes over contested land. Mr. Odinga, in an interview on Monday, credited the unstinting pressure by the EU and the United States government with forcing Mr. Kibaki to compromise. “They knew the game was up,” Mr. Odinga said, referring to Mr. Kibaki’s side, which had insisted for weeks that it would not share power with the opposition, but finally conceded to just about all of Mr. Odinga’s demands except for the presidency. Mr. Odinga said that Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice had been especially influential — and tough. She visited Kenya last month, and by the accounts of Mr. Odinga and others with knowledge of her meetings, she gave Kenya’s president a serious tongue-lashing and told him that his plan to prevent Mr. Odinga’s team from getting any real power was “unacceptable.”

People close to Mr. Kibaki have conceded that the foreign pressure had played a role in Mr. Kibaki’s about-face, especially from donor nations like the United States, which has provided Kenya with more than half a billion dollars of aid each year. And, Mr. Odinga says, that pressure must continue. “We’re still at a very critical stage,” he said. The next step is for Parliament to ratify the political agreement signed by Mr. Odinga and Mr. Kibaki. There are many questions to sort through, like how the government will function with essentially two bosses and what will happen to the vice president, a position that now seems to be eclipsed by that of the prime minister. Parliament is scheduled to meet Thursday. But the biggest question seems to be how Mr. Odinga and Mr. Kibaki will get along. The two had teamed up in 2002, when Mr. Kibaki won his first term as president. But they soon had a bitter falling-out. Mr. Odinga said he had no problem working with Mr. Kibaki. He said his only potential problem was “the clique around him.” He said this clique could persuade some Parliament members to skip the vote on the power-sharing agreement. The agreement needs a two-thirds majority to be put into Kenya’s Constitution through an amendment. So far, Mr. Kibaki’s political allies have said that they would support the agreement, though some have continued to grumble about its ramifications.

Mr. Odinga seems to be cautiously optimistic. He spoke Monday of the ministries his party wanted to take over, including finance and internal security, and how he planned to provide better housing to improve conditions in Kenya’s slums, which had been incubators of violence during the election crisis. He also said he was excited about the American presidential race, and was rooting for Barack Obama, who is half Kenyan and whose father was a Luo, Mr. Odinga’s ethnic group. Luos have felt marginalized for years. There is an old joke in Kenya that has gotten a lot of chuckles lately, that a Luo will be president of the United States before being president of Kenya. “We beat them to it,” Mr. Odinga said, laughing so hard that his eyes watered. “I just wasn’t sworn in.”
by Jeffrey Gettleman
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Israeli Ground Forces Pull Out of Gaza Strip

Palestinians sat amid the rubble of their destroyed home in Jabalia after Israeli troops pulled out of the northern Gaza Strip on Monday. (Abid Katib/Getty Images)
GAZA CITY, Palestine: Mar. 4th. (NY Times) — As israel withdrew its forces from the northern Gaza Strip after a two-day assault on Hamas militants on Monday and Palestinians emerged from their houses to inspect the damage, Hamas leaders seemed to be following the playbook of their Lebanese ally, Hezbollah, in its 2006 war with Israel. Fawzi Barhoum, a spokesman for Hamas in Gaza, said that Hamas has “gone from the stone to the rocket. What we learned from Hezbollah,” he said, “is that resistance is a choice that can work.”

The clearest example of echoing Hezbollah came on Monday when thousands attended a so-called victory rally , and Mahmoud Zahar, an influential Hamas leader, briefly came out of hiding to tell the celebrants that his organization would rebuild any house that had been damaged by the Israeli strikes. Holding up his group as the source of reconstruction as well as resistance is precisely the message that brought Hassan Nasrallah, the Hezbollah leader, local and regional acclaim when his organization faced down Israeli attacks in the summer of 2006 through rocket barrages on Israel. The latest surge in hostilities between Israel and militants in the Gaza Strip left 116 Palestinians dead, according to Dr. Moawiya Hassanain of the Palestinian Health Ministry in Gaza, the deadliest fighting in Gaza in a year. Two Israeli soldiers were killed in the fighting in northern Gaza on Saturday, and one Israeli civilian was killed last Wednesday by rocket fire in the border town of Sderot.

But more than 200 rockets have been fired at Israel since Wednesday, according to Israeli military officials, including at least 21 longer-range Katyusha-style rockets that are manufactured outside Gaza and brought into the strip — another illustration of what Palestinians and Israelis see as the growing similarity between Hamas and Hezbollah. “We are very concerned that the role model for Hamas in Gaza is the Lebanese Hezbollah,” said Mark Regev, a spokesman for Israel’s prime minister, Ehud Olmert, when asked about parallels between this conflict and the one with Hezbollah. “I have no doubt that the people who built Hezbollah’s military machine are now building the military machine of Hamas,” Mr. Regev added. He named Iran, where Israeli security officials say the longer-range rockets used by both Hezbollah and Hamas were made. Israeli officials say that Hezbollah is not only a model for Hamas, but also provides it with training and logistical support. They add that Hamas has also adopted other Hezbollah tactics, operating out of civilian areas and in some cases storing weapons in homes, creating similar dilemmas for the army that it faced in its war in Lebanon in 2006. Soon after the forces left northern Gaza on Monday, two more of the imported rockets that Israelis refer to as Grads struck Ashkelon, a large Israeli coastal city about 10 miles north of the strip. One hit an apartment block causing damage but no serious injuries.

Hamas, the militant Islamic organization that controls Gaza, has claimed responsibility for most of the rocket fire. Hamas took over Gaza last June after routing forces loyal to President Mahmoud Abbas, of Fatah. Mr. Abbas, who is now based in the West Bank, suspended peace talks with Israel as the death toll rose in Gaza, and called on all sides to agree to a cease-fire and to allow him to act as a mediator, a day before Secretary of State Condoleza was expected to arrive in the area for talks. There was a second day of unrest in the West Bank on Monday, with Palestinians protesting the Israeli actions in Gaza and throwing stones at soldiers and Israeli cars in various locations. An Israeli settler shot dead a Palestinian youth, 17, on a road west of Ramallah. According to Israel Radio, the settler said he had gone out for a walk and was confronted by a group of Palestinians, some masked, who threw stones. In an apparent bid to remain relevant in Gaza, and in an echo of the actions of the Lebanese government in southern Beirut last summer, Mr. Abbas, who is now based in the West Bank, also instructed his government on Monday to allocate $5 million to compensate Gaza residents whose properties were damaged in the Israeli campaign. Israel says its ground and air forces have only been targeting rocket squads and weapons storage and production facilities in Gaza. Israel’s army chief of staff, Lt. Gen. Gabi Ashkenazi, and head of military intelligence, Maj. Gen. Amos Yadlin, both described 90 percent of those killed in Gaza in the last few days as terrorists.

But that figure is challenged by medical officials in Gaza, who say about half of those killed were civilians, including several young children. The Israeli human rights organization Btselem also issued a statement on Monday saying that by its count at least 54 of the dead did not take part in the hostilities. Mr. Olmert was quoted as telling the Parliament’s Foreign Affairs and Defense Committee on Monday that the recent military campaign, that started with concerted air strikes on Wednesday and the ground incursion early Saturday, was “not a one-time event. We are in the midst of a combat action,” he said, adding that “the objective is reducing the rocket fire and weakening Hamas.” On Monday evening, the Israeli air force struck another rocket-launching squad and the wagon in which they were transporting rockets in northern Gaza, an Army spokeswoman said. Palestinian officials said one militant was killed. Israel is mulling a much broader and longer ground operation in Gaza, the defense minister, Ehud Baruk, said in recent days. But both Israeli government and military officials say they are wary of such a campaign because of the inevitably high cost in lives on both sides and uncertainty about what might be achieved.

In terms of strength, Hamas is still far from Hezbollah. But if Israel does not act, Mr. Regev said, it will wake up one day to a much more dangerous situation in the south with a large part of the Israeli population within range of Hamas rocket fire. In the Gaza town of Jabalia, the focus of the Israeli ground operation, residents emerged from their houses to inspect the destruction left by the Israeli tanks and to bury more of the dead. Ahmad Darabeh, 37, a teacher and father of six, described how soldiers blew open the door of his house without warning before dawn on Saturday and took up sniper positions inside. The whole family was confined to one room, only allowed out to visit the bathroom once every 10 hours, Mr. Darabeh said. Mr. Darabeh said that one of his female relatives, Nihad Daher, 22, who lives nearby, was killed on Saturday by shrapnel when an Israeli Apache helicopter fired a missile at an armed group somewhere outside the house. Mr. Darabeh said he was impressed by the organization of the members of the Qassam Brigades, the military wing of Hamas. “It was striking to see their performance this time,” he said, adding that if the Israeli ground forces had not been backed up from the air, “Hamas could have beaten them.” The Qassam Brigades say that 37 of its members were killed since Wednesday, and other militant groups say they lost another 15. Many Palestinians in Gaza also expressed reservations about the Hamas celebrations, given the number of people who have died. Sitting outside her partially destroyed house in Jabalia, Aisha Abd Rabbo, 85, said she did not care about Mr. Zahar’s offer of compensation. “All I want is the return of those who were killed,” she said.
by Taghreed El-Khodary and Isabel Kershner. Steven Erlanger contributed from Jerusalem.
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Americans Fire Missiles Into Somalia

Nairobi, Kenya: Mar. 4th. (NY Times) — American naval forces fired missiles into southern Somalia on Monday, aiming at what the Defense Department called terrorist targets. Residents reached by telephone said the only casualties were three wounded civilians, three dead cows, one dead donkey and a partly destroyed house. Bryan Whitman, a Pentagon spokesman in Washington, said the target was a “known Al Qaeda terrorist.” The missile strike was aimed at Saleh Ali Saleh Nabhan, a Kenyan born in 1979 who is wanted by the FBI for questioning in the nearly simultaneous attacks on a hotel in Mombasa, Kenya, and on an Israeli airliner taking off from there, in 2002, said three American officials, who spoke on the condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to speak publicly on the strike or its details. One American military official said the naval attack on Monday was carried out with at least two Tomahawk cruise missiles fired from a submarine. The official said the missiles were believed to have hit their targets. Witnesses on the ground, though, described the attack differently. “I did not know from where they were launched, but what I know is that they hit a house in this town,” said Muhammad Amin Abdullahi Osman, a resident of Dhobley, a small town in southern Somalia near the Kenyan border. Mr. Muhammad said two missiles slammed into the house around 3:30 a.m.

In the attacks to which Mr. Nabhan is linked, three suicide bombers drove up to the Paradise Hotel in Mombasa on Nov. 28, 2002, and blew themselves up, killing three Israeli tourists and 10 Kenyans, many of them young people in a welcoming party in the lobby. That attack took place after terrorists aimed shoulder-fired missiles at an Israeli airliner taking off from Mombasa’s airport, but missed. The Kenyan police say Mr. Nabhan bought the sport utility vehicle used in the hotel bombing. Kenyan authorities also suspect that Mr. Nabhan was involved in the bombings of the United States Embassies in Nairobi and Dar es Salaam, Tanzania, on Aug. 7, 1998, in which more than 200 people were killed and 5,000 wounded. Monday’s attack was not the first time that American forces had fired missiles into Somalia or used airstrikes in pursuit of what the Pentagon has called terrorist operatives in the country. They did so at least three times last year.

Dhobley lies in the growing swath of southern Somalia that seems to be falling under the control of the country’s Islamist movement once again. The Islamists rose to power in 2006 and brought a degree of law and order to Somalia for the first time since the central government collapsed in 1991. But they were driven out of Somalia in late 2006 and early 2007 by a joint Ethiopian-American offensive. The Americans and Ethiopians said Somalia’s Islamists were harboring Qaeda terrorists, including men connected to the 1998 embassy bombings. Thousands of Ethiopian troops poured across the border, backed up by American warplanes and American intelligence. The Islamist movement then went underground. But in the past several months, the Islamists seem to be making a comeback, taking over towns in southern Somalia, including Dhobley, and inflicting a steady stream of casualties on Ethiopian forces with suicide bombs and hit-and-run attacks. Efforts by foreign diplomats and the UN to broker a truce have failed, and concerns are rising that Somalia could be headed toward another war-induced famine like the one it suffered in the early 1990s.
By Jeffrey Gettleman and Eric Schmitt. Mohammed Ibrahim &Yuusuf Maxamuud contributed reporting from Mogadishu, Somalia.
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Sunday, March 2, 2008

Scorched-Earth Strategy Returns to Darfur

Hawar Omar Muhammad was among the Suleia residents terrorized by the militias, known as the janjaweed, and bombs dropped by government planes. (Lynsey Addario for The New York Times)
SULEIA, Sudan: Mar. 2nd. (NY Times) — They came to this dusty town in the Darfur region of Sudan on horses and camels on market day. Almost everybody was in the bustling square. At the first clatter of automatic gunfire, everyone ran. The militiamen laid waste to the town — burning huts, pillaging shops, carrying off any loot they could find and shooting anyone who stood in their way, residents said. Asha Abdullah Abakar, wizened and twice widowed, described how she hid in a hut, praying it would not be set on fire. “I have never been so afraid,” she said. The attacks by the janjaweed, the fearsome Arab militias that came three weeks ago, accompanied by government bombers and followed by the Sudanese Army, were a return to the tactics that terrorized Darfur in the early, bloodiest stages of the conflict. Such brutal, three-pronged attacks of this scale — involving close coordination of air power, army troops and Arab militias in areas where rebel troops have been — have rarely been seen in the past few years, when the violence became more episodic and fractured. But they resemble the kinds of campaigns that first captured the world’s attention and prompted the Bush administration to call the violence in Darfur genocide. Aid workers, diplomats and analysts say the return of such attacks is an ominous sign that the fighting in Darfur, which has grown more complex and confusing as it has stretched on for five years, is entering a new and deadly phase — one in which the government is planning a scorched-earth campaign against the rebel groups fighting here as efforts to find a negotiated peace founder.

The government has carried out a series of coordinated attacks in recent weeks, using air power, ground forces and, according to witnesses and peacekeepers stationed in the area, the janjaweed, as their allied militias are known here. The offensives are aimed at retaking ground gained by a rebel group, the Justice and Equality Movement, which has been gathering strength and has close ties to the government of neighboring Chad. Government officials say that their strikes have been carefully devised to hit the rebels, not civilians, and that Arab militias were not involved. They said they had been motivated to evict the rebels in part because the rebels were hijacking aid vehicles and preventing peacekeepers from patrolling the area, events that some aid workers and peacekeepers confirmed. “We are simply trying to secure the area from the bandits that are troubling civilians in the area,” said Ali al-Sadig, a government spokesman. “There is nothing abnormal about a government doing this.” But residents of the towns said the rebels had been long gone by the time the government attacks began, leaving defenseless civilians to flee bombs and guns. In interviews, survivors of the attacks described a series of assaults that had left dozens dead, turned large sections of towns into hut-shaped circles of ash and scattered tens of thousands of fearful residents, including hundreds of children, who fled classrooms in the middle of a school day and have not been reunited with their families. “My son Ahmed, he ran, but I have not seen him since,” said a woman named Aisha as she waited for a sack of sorghum from UN workers in Sirba, one of the towns that was attacked. “I just pray he is still hiding in the bush somewhere and will come back to me.”

The United Nations estimates that the recent fighting has forced about 45,000 people to flee their homes in Darfur, which is roughly the size of Texas and has a population of about six million people. Some fled to Chad, where they have not been able to reach the safety of refugee camps because of continued bombing along the border. Others fled to Jebel Moun, a rebel stronghold to the east, and aid workers fear for the safety of about 20,000 people who are in the path of future attacks if the government presses ahead with its offensive and the rebels vow to resist. Military officials from the peacekeeping force in Darfur said in recent days that the Sudanese military had added nearly a brigade of troops to West Darfur, along with two dozen tanks and armored vehicles and many heavy weapons. “You see a buildup from both sides,” said Ameerah Haq, the senior United Nations aid official in Sudan. “Both sides must desist. We have a population that is just being attacked and hit from both sides.”

Pressure is mounting on Sudan over Darfur. In January, a long-sought hybrid United Nations and African Union peacekeeping force began working in Darfur, but the Sudanese government’s quibbling over which countries the troops will come from and bureaucratic delays have stalled the force’s deployment. Sudan’s biggest trading partner and ally, China, has also come under pressure from advocates who have linked the Olympic Games in Beijing this summer to the fighting in Darfur. China has been more publicly critical of the Sudanese government in recent weeks. Sudan has also been trying to improve its relationship with the United States, and last week, President Bush’s new special envoy to Sudan, Richard S. Williamson, visited Darfur and the Sudanese capital, Khartoum, meeting with President Omar al-Bashir. Any improvement in relations, he said, would be contingent on tangible improvements in the humanitarian situation. “Since the first of the year another 75,000 people in Darfur have been displaced,” Mr. Williamson said in a telephone interview. “That is more than a thousand a day. There are not going to be any changes until that reverses.”

Despite the pressure, the government seems determined to fight on, and the most powerful rebel groups — the biggest factions of the Justice and Equality Movement and the Sudanese Liberation Army — have refused to sit down for talks. So the violence continues, tracing a familiar arc as it wears on. It was five years ago last week that an attack by rebels from non-Arab tribes like the Fur, Masalit and Zaghawa, seeking greater wealth and autonomy for the neglected and impoverished region of Darfur, prompted the Arab-dominated government to marshal Arab militias in the region that ultimately evicted millions from their homes, burning, looting and raping along the way. The campaign effectively pushed many non-Arab people off their land and into vast, squalid camps across Darfur and Chad. In the first two years of the conflict, 2003 and 2004, joint attacks by the Sudanese Army, janjaweed militiamen and the government’s old Russian-made Antonov bombers terrorized Darfur, waging a brutal counterinsurgency against non-Arab rebel groups by attacking their fellow tribesmen in their villages. At least 200,000 are believed to have died as a result of the violence or sickness and hunger caused by the crisis, according to international estimates, with the majority of violent deaths in that period. But in the past two years, the conflict has grown more complex and chaotic, and while some coordinated attacks by janjaweed militias and aerial bombardment have occurred, they were not of the same scale or intensity. But Darfur has remained a deadly place.

In 2006, before a peace agreement and then in the aftermath of its failure, rebel groups fractured and began fighting among themselves. Hundreds of thousands of people were displaced and hundreds died as a result of their battles. Today, according to some estimates, two dozen rebel groups are jockeying for territory and influence in Darfur. Some analysts and human rights workers say the government has sown chaos by splintering the rebel groups to weaken them. In 2007, Arab tribes, some of which had allied with the government and some of which had taken up arms to fight the rebels, also began to fight one another. Many of the violent deaths of 2007 were caused by these bloody battles between Arab groups and their militias, according to aid workers and diplomats in the region. But as the conflict enters its sixth year, an older, deadly pattern is returning, and with it fears are rising among villagers, aid workers, diplomats and analysts that Darfur is headed for a new cycle of bloodletting and displacement on a vast scale.

In recent weeks, bombs dropped from government planes hit Abu Surouj, Sirba, Suleia and other towns in West Darfur, then came janjaweed militiamen, who killed, raped and burned, helping themselves to livestock and grain, furniture and clothing. In one town, the raiders pried the corrugated metal roof off a school, aid workers said. In another, water pumps were destroyed. “This is the kind of destruction that makes it hard for people to return,” said Ted Chaiban, the Unicef representative in Sudan, who has toured the area of the attacks. “People need security. They are totally vulnerable.”

The recent violence in Chad, where rebel groups with bases in Sudan tried to topple the government in early February, has worsened matters. Rebels in Darfur, who diplomats and analysts say have received arms and cash from the family of Chad’s president, Idriss Déby, rushed into Chad to help defend him, creating a vacuum in the territory they had occupied. Sudan’s government seized the opportunity to retake the ground and now appears to be pushing farther into areas long held by the rebels, according to peacekeepers stationed here. Few people in the region were unhappy to see the Justice and Equality Movement evicted. Banditry was rife in the territory it controlled, and for months aid groups had dodged carjackings and other attacks. African Union peacekeepers had been barred from the area, according to Brig. Gen. Balla Keita, the new regional commander of the hybrid United Nations-African Union force in West Darfur. "They were causing a lot of insecurity," General Keita said of the rebels, but he added that this did not justify attacks on heavily populated areas. In Suleia, only a few hundred residents remained of the 15,000 who had lived here. Those left behind were too weak to run and have sought safety near the army camp at the edge of town, sleeping in the open, huddled together for warmth against the frigid night winds. The Sudanese soldiers here have promised to protect them from militiamen who still roam the edges of town. They prevented militiamen from stealing sacks of grain delivered by aid groups, residents said. Adam Adoum Abdullah, a former rebel fighter who joined the Sudanese Army as part of a peace deal with one rebel group in 2006, commandeered an army truck to help collect what little food, blankets and bits of shelter remained in the town for those sleeping out in the cold next to the army camp. “I am ashamed that the janjaweed come with the soldiers,” Mr. Abdullah said. “What kind of army are we to fight like this? These people, they are suffering. We must help them.”
By Lydia Polgreen
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Disclaimer
No responsibility or liability shall attach itself to either myself or to the blogspot ‘Mozlink’ for any or all of the articles/images placed here. The placing of an article does not necessarily imply that I agree or accept the contents of the article as being necessarily factual in theology, dogma or otherwise.
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Saturday, March 1, 2008

As Kenya Bleeds, Tourism Also Suffers in Land of Safaris

Lel Cartwright, a tourist, with Isaac Rotich, a safari guide, at the Cottars 1920s Mara Safari Camp in Kenya’s Masai Mara. (Guillaume Bonn for The New York Times)
KEEKOROK, Kenya: March 1st. (NY Times) — Nancy Holan just had the safari of her life. She and a friend flew to Kenya from Detroit and as they cruised the wide open plains, they had the lions, zebras and elephants all to themselves. "It was wonderful," she said. Not far away, Isaac Rotich, a high-end safari guide, paced an empty game lodge in freshly polished safari boots. He can spot a six-inch lizard 50 feet away, and tell you the name — in Kiswahili, English and Latin — of the plant it is sitting on. He has spent years building this career and was making $30,000 a year, a king’s ransom in these parts. Now he is afraid of losing it all. “We’re hurting, big time,” Mr. Rotich said. This is what Kenya’s legendary safari business has become: wonderful for tourists, disastrous for just about everyone else.

Tourism is one of Kenya’s biggest industries, but the violence that exploded after a flawed election in December has eviscerated the business, with bookings down 80 to 90 percent in most areas. Even after a peace deal was signed Thursday, government and tourism officials worried that it could take months — if not years — to recover. Kenya’s rival politicians have agreed to share power, and on Friday many people here praised them for finally calming the country down. But the long-term economic consequences are just beginning to sink in. “We will work very hard to see what we can salvage,” said Rose Musonye Kwena, an official at the Kenya Tourist Board, who estimated that even if there was no more major violence this year business would still be down 50 percent. The images of machete-wielding mobs caused a tourist stampede, and the lingering uncertainty over the country’s direction has caused a wave of cancellations, leaving dozens of hotels closed and thousands of guides, drivers, cooks, waiters, masseuses, wood carvers and bead stringers out of work. Many of them support a vast network of relatives. A continued tourism meltdown could push millions of Kenyans toward poverty, which was one of the underlying causes of the violence in the first place. The downturn also threatens to reverse the momentum that Kenya has made in recent years to protect land and animals. Government officials are worried about out-of-work guides and trackers poaching game. Village elders in animal-rich areas who had been persuaded that conservation and tourism would be profitable have been re-examining this equation and considering selling off their land. Sales mean farms, and farms mean fences, which could block the millions of zebra, wildebeest and antelope that migrate across the famous Masai Mara game reserve each year, possibly endangering one of the most spectacular gatherings of animal life on the planet. “It’s absolutely catastrophic,” said Calvin Cottar, the owner of an upscale safari camp.

Kenya’s billion-dollar tourism industry, which injects critically needed foreign exchange into the economy, is hardly the only victim. The election crisis, which started when Kenya’s election commission declared the incumbent president, Mwai Kibaki, the winner of a closely contested race, despite widespread evidence of vote rigging, has killed more than 1,000 people and balkanized Kenya, with hundreds of thousands fleeing their homes and resettling in ethnically homogenous zones. The violence punched a hole through the economy, disrupting coffee and tea production, knocking down the stock market’s value and bruising transport, manufacturing, construction and nearly every other industry — except maybe the funeral trade. Tourism could take among the longest to bounce back, because it is especially sensitive to perceptions, and the well-publicized bloodshed of the past two months has badly dented Kenya’s image. Last year, the country had more than two million tourists. In January, there were only 55,000 new arrivals, well below projections. The truth is that most of the violence has subsided and it never really touched the tourist areas, like the Masai Mara.

But many Western governments seem to think otherwise. Australia is still warning its citizens traveling to Kenya to stay indoors, not exactly the greatest plug for game watching. “These warnings are a real problem for us,” Mr. Cottar said. Even if the game lodges have been perfectly safe, he said, people have not wanted to come to Kenya if they think “they will be drinking Champagne while somebody is getting hacked to death over the hill.” His resort is as good an example as any. Cottars 1920s Mara Safari Camp is one of the most luxurious lodges in Kenya, charging up to $710 a night per person, and is usually booked solid at this time of year. Now it is deserted. It is nestled in an especially picturesque corner of the Masai Mara, overlooking the green hills of Africa that inspired Ernest Hemingway and so many others. The lodge plays up the old-school theme, decked out with leather trunks, brass telescopes and pith helmets. On Sunday, the only guests were a couple from Kenya who paid cut-rate local prices, which allow the lodges to stay open — but just barely. The couple, James and Lel Cartwright, arrived in their own plane. For once, the air over the Masai Mara was clear as glass. “It was stunning,” Mrs. Cartwright said. “There’s usually a wall of dust from all the minibuses.” The staff at Cottars threw on their fezzes and best smiles. But underneath they seemed down. Their salaries have been halved. The tips have dried up. Daniel Lanke, a waiter at Cottars, just enrolled his ninth child in private school but now, he said, “I can’t even buy him socks.” In the villages around the lodge, it is the same story. At the sound of a truck, Masai women dash in from the fields and set up tables full of souvenirs. Some have not sold a necklace for months. “We are going to go hungry,” said one woman, Nalarame Noloswesh, who has seven children.

Many lodges have teamed up with local communities, sharing a slice of their profits in exchange for using the communities’ land. The whole point was to make tourism more profitable than agriculture, so villagers would have an incentive to set aside their land for animals. Kenya’s tourism officials seem to appreciate the stakes. They are planning to begin a huge marketing campaign to reassure potential visitors that Kenya is safe. Mr. Cottar says that he will donate some of his proceeds to the Kenyan Red Cross to emphasize that “if you go on safari now, you’ll be helping the country.” But those with the means may not wait. Mr. Rotich, the safari guide, is fully aware of his skills. He is an expert game spotter, speaks impeccable English and seems genuinely interested in every form of life on the veldt, from the towering giraffe to the lowly dung beetle. “This is all I know,” he said. The other day, he found a herd of 150 elephants eating grass in a clearing. Babies wrestled with one another as their enormous mothers lumbered past. The elephant train was headed south to Tanzania, where the safari industry is booming because many tourists are flocking there instead. Mr. Rotich said he might join them. “I love Kenya,” he said. “But I have my dreams.”
by Jeffrey Gettleman
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Thursday, February 28, 2008

Kenya Rivals Reach Peace Agreement

Kenyan President Mwai Kibaki, left, and Raila Odinga, the opposition leader, with Kofi Annan in Nairobi, Kenya, on Friday. (Simon Maina/Agence France-Presse -- Getty Images)
NAIROBI, Kenya: Feb. 29th. (NY Times) — Kenya’s rival leaders broke their tense standoff on Thursday, agreeing to share power in a deal that may end the violence that has engulfed the nation but could mark the beginning of a long and difficult political relationship. The country seemed to let out a collective hooray as Mwai Kibaki, the president and Raila Odinga, the top opposition leader, sat at a desk in front of the president’s office, with a bank of television cameras rolling, and signed an agreement that creates a powerful prime minister position for Mr. Odinga and splits cabinet positions between the government and the opposition. There are still many thorny issues to resolve, among them how the government will function with essentially two bosses. There is also a deeply divided country to heal. More than 1,000 Kenyans have been killed and hundreds of thousands driven from their homes in an uncharacteristic burst of violence set off by a deeply flawed election in December. Much of the fighting, like the voting, has been along ethnic lines.

But the two-page agreement, which came after intense international pressure and mediation by Kofi Annan, the former UN secretary general, seemed to serve as a contract to pull Kenya back from the brink. Both leaders urged their supporters, who have battled viciously across the country in recent weeks, to respect it. “I call on Kenyans to embrace the spirit of togetherness,” Mr. Kibaki said. Mr. Odinga was beaming next to him. “We should begin to ensure that Kenyans begin to celebrate and love each other and that we destroy the monster that is called ethnicity,” he said. Kenyans were glued to their television sets and radios across the country as the news broke. In downtown Nairobi, the capital, a crowd poured into the streets and danced and cheered until they were run off by tear-gas shooting police officers. In offices across town, business executives, who have watched their profits fall and the investments tank over the past two months, finally exhaled. “Yes, I’m relieved,” said Ngovi Kitau, the manager of a large car dealership. He had just come from a meeting where his company had decided to let 10 people go a month because business was so bad. “You don’t know what we’ve been through.” But he injected a note of caution that many Kenyans seemed to feel: “It’s a marriage of convenience, and it’s the best way out because it’s going to get the country moving again. But it’s not a solution.”

Kenya used to be considered one of the most prosperous countries in Africa, known as an oasis of stability in a turbulent region. But the country spun into chaos in late December after the national election commission declared Mr. Kibaki the winner of a closely-contested election over Mr. Odinga, who claims to have won the most votes. Election observers have been unanimous that the election was tainted by irregularities, with some saying that the government rigged the tallying of votes to give Mr. Kibaki a slender, 11th-hour edge. The controversy spawned bloodletting across the country, with supporters of Mr. Odinga and Mr. Kibaki fighting one another in brutal battles. Mr. Odinga and Mr. Kibaki are from different ethnic groups, and the election seems to have kicked the lid off a set of simmering political, ethnic and economic issues. The violence cooled down in the past few weeks, but the tension and displacements continued, with many Kenyans saying that the country would not return to peace until the dueling politicians agreed to some sort of solution.

Mr. Annan took the lead in trying to bring the two sides together. For the past month, he has been meeting nearly every day with negotiators for Mr. Kibaki and Mr. Odinga, searching for a political compromise. More than anyone else, he has been the hope of this country. A newly-born baby rhino was even named after him. This week the talks nearly collapsed altogether. Negotiators deadlocked over whether they would share responsibilities or share power, with the government refusing to give Mr. Odinga substantial authority or to amend the constitution to create the position of prime minister, which had not existed in Kenya’s system. Mr. Annan then decided to bypass the negotiation teams and go directly to Mr. Odinga and Mr. Kibaki. He met with them behind closed doors for six hours on Thursday. At 4:30 p.m. local time, Mr. Annan, Mr. Kibaki and Mr. Odinga emerged. The two leaders signed the agreement with Mr. Annan standing behind them, his hands clasped, as a crowd of diplomats, cabinet ministers and political supporters clapped.

The deal creates a government of national unity, melding the president’s party with Mr. Odinga’s. Mr. Odinga will become prime minister and will “coordinate and supervise” government affairs. The cabinet positions will be divided, based on parliamentary strength. Mr. Odinga’s party has a slight edge in Parliament. This is not the first time Mr. Kibaki, 76, and Mr. Odinga, 63, have vowed to work together. The two were close political allies in 2002, when Mr. Kibaki was elected president, but they soon had a falling out. Under the deal, the two sides will work together on constitutional reform, land reform, electoral reform and a complete overall of Kenya’s political system. “Today we have reached an important staging post, but the journey is far from over,” Mr. Annan said. “Let the spirit of healing begin today. Let it begin now.”
by Jeffrey Gettleman with Kennedy Abwao contributed to this report
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Wednesday, February 27, 2008

Ten UN Agencies Target Female Mutilation

Female genital mutilation is deeply rooted in many societies
UN, New York: Feb. 27th. (BBC News) A range of United Nations agencies are calling for the practice of female genital mutilation to be ended within the space of a generation. An estimated three million girls a year are thought to be at risk from this practice, many of them in Africa. The practice of cutting off the clitoris of a young girl - and often more - is deeply rooted in some cultures. Ten UN agencies want a major reduction in the tradition by 2015. The practice is seen in some countries as a way to ensure virginity and to make a woman marriageable. Yet it also leads to bleeding, shock, infections and a higher rate of death for the women's new-born babies, say the UN groups.

Up to 140 million women are thought to have undergone this procedure in 28 countries in Africa, and a few in Asia and the Middle East. It is also happening to girls and women who have left their original countries and settled in the West. The UN agencies say traditions are often stronger than law and legal action by itself is not enough to tackle this. Change must come from within communities, they say, citing the example of West Africa, where villages have joined together to make pledges to abandon this practice.
by Laura Trevelyan
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Cubans Wary of Raúl Castro’s Hints at Change

HAVANA, Cuba: Feb. 27th. (NY Times) — In his first state reception as Cuba's president, Raul Castro met Tuesday not with leftist Latin American leaders like Hugo Chavez and Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, nor with Chinese officials, but with the secretary of state of the Vatican, a traditional enemy of Communism and a critic of Cuba’s record on human rights. Mr. Castro’s decision to begin his tenure by meeting the Vatican’s top diplomat, Cardinal Tarcisio Bertone, a possible go-between with the United States and Europe, reflects his practical, no-nonsense style as well as his greater willingness to put ideology aside to achieve his goals than his brother often showed. Mr. Castro, who is 76 years old, is hardly a fresh face to Cubans, having served as the defense minister for the past half century. Many people doubt that he intends to upend his brother’s legacy. Yet he does seem inclined to govern more pragmatically than his more doctrinaire and romantic brother, who ran this country for 49 years as if it were his own business, signing off on almost every government decision. Raúl Castro has said the government needs to shrink and become more compact. He has promised “structural changes” and “big decisions.” “We have to make our government’s management more efficient,” he said Sunday, adding, “We have to plan well, and we cannot spend more than we have.”

Since he became acting president after Fidel Castro fell ill and disappeared from public view in July 2006, Raúl Castro has sought to improve public transportation and shake up the state-controlled dairy monopoly. He also shocked people when he acknowledged that the average salary of about $19 a month was too little to live on. As he took office Sunday, he raised the possibility of revaluing the Cuban peso to give salary-earners greater buying power. Raúl Castro’s decision on Sunday to put his closest friends and loyalists in the major positions of vice president and defense minister also suggests that he has control of the government, even though he has promised to consult Fidel Castro on important matters. Despite such steps, many Cubans say they see few signs of real change. Some say they suspect that Fidel Castro will continue to rule from behind the scenes. Others see little ideological difference between the ex-president and his brother. Still others argue that the centralized bureaucratic apparatus of the state is too rusty to be reformed. A young man stood in Havana’s central park on Monday, scanning the faces of the new government leaders, his face scrunched up in puzzled concentration. When a reporter asked him what he thought of the new president, he muttered, “It’s good,” rattled the paper shut and marched quickly away, casting a furtive glance at a nearby police officer. “Everyone is afraid to talk,” said a student sitting on a park bench nearby who identified himself only as Alejandro. “This is the time when the people should go to the street, but they are afraid. My country is like a prison.” A few blocks away, José, a store clerk in his 30s, was waiting in line outside a post office in Old Havana to send an e-mail message to a family friend through a secure Internet connection that allows no other contact with the outside world. “There was no change,” he said, echoing the views of others. “Look, if you paint this tile here and you paint it with the same color, there is no change. The brothers think alike.”

Many experts on Cuba, however, say the two brothers often have not seen eye to eye. They have clashed over the years on everything from Fidel Castro’s short-lived flirtation with the American public in 1959 to the necessity of allowing some private enterprise during the economic crisis here in the 1990s. Fidel Castro, who is 81, was renowned for his ability to recall arcane details and second-guess his cabinet members, fostering an atmosphere in which even high-ranking officials were afraid to act without the president’s explicit approval. Raúl Castro, who spent much of his life at the head of Cuba’s military, has a reputation for delegating authority and demanding results from managers, people who know him say. “He once said to me after I had given a report at a meeting, ‘All right, this is your report, if one word of this is not true, I’m going to cut you in half,’ ” recalled Vladimiro Roca, a former fighter pilot who fell out with the authorities and has become a leading dissident. Fidel Castro often rambled on for hours in sometimes dull but occasionally stunning oratory. Raúl Castro gives short, precise speeches, always going directly to the heart of his subject. Where Fidel Castro sought the international limelight, his brother focuses more on bread-and-butter domestic issues.

In recent public speeches, Raúl Castro appears to have calculated for political reasons that he cannot distance himself too much from his brother, who, despite his long illness, continues to lead the Communist Party and to cast a large shadow over Cuban politics. For example, the new president made it clear in his first speech to the National Assembly over the weekend that he would continue to consult Fidel and even asked for a vote to authorize him to do so, drawing extended applause from party regulars. But the younger Castro’s actions show that he is willing to take Cuba in a different direction from that of his more dogmatic brother. Over the last year and a half, Raúl Castro has openly criticized state salaries as too low to live on, and speaking to the Congress, he raised the possibility of revaluing the Cuban peso to give salary-earners more buying power. Mr. Castro has taken steps to decentralize the production and distribution of milk. He has imported hundreds of buses from China to alleviate transportation woes and rid the streets of tractor-trailers fitted out for public transportation, eyesores known as camels. He has all but done away with the obligatory mass demonstrations Fidel Castro often organized to rally people against the United States. The younger Castro has even encouraged a measure of public debate about government programs, something his brother rarely allowed. Last fall, he authorized town hall meetings across the island to let people vent their frustrations with the system, though he made it clear that decisions about changes would rest with the ruling party.

Indeed, one of the two state newspapers, Juventud Rebelde, has done exposes on the filching of goods and food from state-run businesses that has become part of life here. Leading cultural figures, meanwhile, have called for dropping onerous visa requirements and other limits on personal freedom. Raúl Castro seems firmly in control of the Council of State, the main governing body. He named his old friends and military comrades — José Ramón Machado Ventura and Gen. Julio Casas Reguiero — as first vice president and defense minister, respectively. The upper echelon of the council is stacked with other military leaders who are considered close to the new president, among them Gen. Abelardo Colomé Ibarra and Juan Almeida Bosque. “This is Raúl’s team, the group of vice presidents,” said Brian Latell, a former C.I.A. analyst who wrote the book “After Fidel” and has studied the brothers for years. “I do think that Raúl is in charge. He’s going to pay proper homage to Fidel but not obeisance.” What is more, Raúl Castro says he will not officially appoint the rest of his cabinet until December at the earliest. Some political analysts says this gives him time to purge the cabinet members considered to be more loyal to his brother than to him if he wishes.

Still, after 49 years of living under Fidel Castro, many Cubans are skeptical of their new leader’s ability to get things done. They are waiting for Raúl Castro to do something concrete to improve their lives, like raise salaries. “His speech sounded more or less like more of the same,” said Alberto, a veteran driver for the official government taxi service. “There is a big gap between what is said and what is done.” Yoani Sánchez, who writes a political blog, said: “In general there is a sense of frustration because we had expected more. There is talk of changes, but he puts off defining those changes.” Still, many Cubans took heart that Mr. Castro had promised in his speech to lift some regulations and restrictions that stifle economic growth. For starters, he said it was time to revalue the Cuban peso, a step toward getting rid of the dual-currency system that has impoverished millions of Cubans. For years, the government has used a nearly worthless peso to pay government salaries while restricting the distribution of a so-called convertible peso that can be exchanged for foreign currency. The system has led to a kind of economic apartheid. Cubans with access to convertible pesos live far better than their compatriots. Those who live solely on government salaries can barely survive, even with free health care and subsidized rations of some basic foodstuffs and tobacco. Restrictions on travel and access to the Internet also rankle many Cubans, who believe the rules are virtually imprisoning them on their island. University students recently clashed with the president of the National Assembly over travel rights, a scene that was filmed and distributed clandestinely. Some Cubans expect Mr. Castro might lift some travel restrictions as a crowd-pleaser. Others said they hoped they would be allowed to own cellphones and to stay at tourist hotels, small but symbolically important steps. In the long run, however, his biggest challenge is revamping Cuba’s centralized economy. Raúl Castro said in his first speech to Parliament that the government needed to be streamlined and decentralized. No institution was safe from reforms, he said.

Yet his appointees are themselves members of the old guard, mostly men in their 70s. That disappointed some here who had hoped a younger generation of technocrats might rise. In some circles there is a feeling the veterans of the revolution can never dismantle the current economic system, which offers people little incentive to work. “Raúl has to make the country more efficient and give incentives to for work because really no one works in Cuba now,” said Juan, a man in his forties who acts as a consultant to importers. “How to you put a country to work that isn’t used to working? That is the trick.”
By James C. Mckinley Jr.
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Disclaimer
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Tuesday, February 26, 2008

Annan Tries to Spur Kenya Talks

NAIROBI, Kenya: Feb. 27th. (NY Times) - Kofi Annan suspended day-to-day mediation talks in Kenya on Tuesday and said he would now take up the remaining divisive issues with Kenya’s leaders directly. Mr. Annan, the former United Nations secretary general, seems to be growing increasingly frustrated with the pace of the negotiations, which have ground on for more than a month and are intended to solve a political crisis in Kenya that has cost more than 1,000 lives. “We cannot continue on the current basis,” said Mr. Annan, who is shepherding the talks. “It’s important for the leaders themselves to take charge.” Mr. Annan said it was crucial to reach a comprehensive solution and not “a patch-up job.”

Kenya’s troubles started in late December after the national election commission declared Mwai Kibaki, the incumbent, the winner of a presidential election over Raila Odinga, the top opposition leader, despite widespread evidence of vote rigging. The turmoil that followed pitted supporters of Mr. Odinga against those of Mr. Kibaki in brutal battles that spread across the country and split many areas along ethnic lines. Mr. Odinga and Mr. Kibaki are from different ethnic groups, and the election seems to have kicked the lid off simmering political, ethnic and economic issues. Mr. Annan has been meeting nearly every day with negotiators for Mr. Kibaki and Mr. Odinga, searching for a compromise that will calm the country. Mr. Annan said Tuesday that he was not giving up, but that a conclusion would be reached much faster by bypassing the negotiators and speaking with Mr. Kibaki and Mr. Odinga themselves. The two sides have agreed on many points. Last week, the government acquiesced to the opposition’s demand to create a position of prime minister for Mr. Odinga, who claims to have won the election.

But this week the two sides seem to have split over the details of that position, and Mr. Annan said that barely any progress was made Tuesday. The talks seem to alternate between promising and hopeless, and whenever progress is blocked, the two sides start hurling accusations at each other, as they did on Tuesday. The government now claims that the opposition is refusing to budge. From the government’s perspective, it has conceded much. Mr. Kibaki’s team rejects the accusations that the government rigged the elections to keep Mr. Kibaki in power, as some election observers have suggested. Mr. Kibaki’s team believes that offering the opposition posts in the government is a generous compromise. “We tend to feel we have been railroaded,” said Mutula Kilonzo, a negotiator for the government. But the opposition says that the government has been stubborn, and that beneath all the talk it does not want to share power in a meaningful way. “We have been extremely frustrated,” said Musalia Mudavadi, an opposition leader. “There are moments we believe we have made ground, but we realize the following day that there is a reversal.”

The pressure for a deal is increasing. Opposition leaders have threatened to resume nationwide protests on Thursday, and such events have turned bloody before. Foreign powers, like the United States, are demanding that Kenya’s leaders find a political solution fast. On Tuesday, Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice issued a threatening statement saying, “There can be no excuse for further delay.” “We are exploring a wide range of possible actions,” she said. “We will draw our own conclusions about who is responsible for lack of progress and take necessary steps.”
by Jeffrey Gettleman with Kennedy Abwao contributed reporting.
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Drug-Resistant TB at Record Levels

A ward for tuberculosis and HIV patients in Juba Hospital in southern Sudan. (Lynsey Addario for The New York Times)
Feb. 26th. (NY Times) - Multiple-drug-resistant tuberculosis cases in parts of the former Soviet Union have reached the highest rates ever recorded and could soar even higher, spreading the bacterial disease elsewhere, the World Health Organisation said on Tuesday in releasing findings from the largest global survey of the problem. The highest rate was in Baku, the capital of Azerbaijan, where 22.3 percent of new tuberculosis cases were resistant to the standard anti-tuberculosis drug regimen during the survey period from 2002 to 2006. That exceeded the previous high of 14.2 percent, in Kazakhstan. Studies in China also suggest that multiple-drug-resistant TB is widespread in the inner Mongolia and Heilongjiang regions, W.H.O. said. The new survey, the first in four years, shows that earlier predictions were correct and that governments have lost control of tuberculosis in many areas. The reason, health officials say, is that countries have failed to invest enough to build, equip and staff the laboratories needed to detect the disease. The countries also failed to assure sufficient amounts of standard drugs and then to monitor patients to ensure that they complete a full course of therapy. Inadequate therapy often leads to development of multiple-drug-resistant strains of the tuberculosis bacterium. Drug-resistant tuberculosis, like drug-sensitive TB, can be transmitted from an infected individual to a noninfected person in droplets through coughing, sneezing, singing and other activities. The drug resistant form can take two years to treat with drugs that are 100 times more expensive than the first-line regimen, the health agency, a unit of the United Nations said. The survey also found alarmingly high rates in Moldova (19.4 percent), Donetsk in the Ukraine (16 percent), Tomsk Oblast in Russia (15 percent) and Tashkent in Uzbekistan (14.8 percent). Those levels surpassed the highest levels that nearly all experts once thought were possible, Dr. Mario C. Raviglione, who directs the health organization’s Stop Tuberculosis program, said in an interview. “We are seeing levels of multiple-drug-resistant TB that we never expected — 20 percent is a very high level,” Dr. Raviglione, said. The Global Plan to Stop TB is a road map for reducing by half TB prevalence and deaths by 2015 compared with 1990 levels.

When W.H.O. started a drug surveillance project in 1994, he said, “the general thinking was that multiple-drug-resistant TB would never be a real problem since it was felt to be confined to immunosuppressed patients.” A decade ago, when W.H.O. first received reports of 9 to 10 percent rates of multiple-drug-resistant TB in some areas, many scientists thought the figure was inaccurate due to a misclassification that mixed new, previously treated and chronic cases together. Experts also said higher rates were not possible, Dr. Raviglione said, but “we see now it is possible, it tells you they are really doing something wrong in places where this form of TB is spreading.” Overall, about one in 20 new cases of tuberculosis in the world is resistant to first line drugs, which translates into nearly 500,000 of the 9 million new tuberculosis cases that are detected each year, according to the W.H.O. survey, which involved 90,000 patients in 81 countries.

The World Health Organization says that there is a financial gap of $2.5 billion of the estimated $4.8 billion needed this year for overall TB control in low- and middle-income countries. For the first time, the survey included analysis of extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis, or XDR-TB, a virtually untreatable form of the respiratory disease because the causative bacteria are resistant to virtually all the most effective anti-TB drugs. XDR-TB has been reported in 45 countries, but because few countries have the necessary laboratories to detect it, the data were limited. The true extent of the problem remains unknown in some pockets of the world because only six countries in Africa, the region with the world’s highest incidence of TB, could provide drug resistance data for the report, Dr. Raviglione said. Other countries in the region could not conduct surveys because they lack the laboratory equipment and trained personnel needed to identify drug-resistant TB. Outbreaks of drug resistance are likely going undetected, Abigail Wright, the principal author of the W.H.O. report, said. Although the W.H.O. report highlights the extent of drug resistance, Dr. Raviglione said there were successes where governments invested in control measures. He cited the Baltic countries of Estonia and Latvia as “the model” because they were the drug resistant tuberculosis “hot spots” 13 years ago. Today, following a substantial investment and a sustained assault on multiple-drug-resistant TB, rates in these two countries are stabilizing and rates of new TB are falling.
By Lawrence K. Altman
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Saturday, February 23, 2008

China, in New Role, Presses Sudan on Darfur

A restaurant in Khartoum, Sudan’s capital, is among the signs of China’s active commercial and diplomatic role in the country. (Lynsey Addario for The New York Times)
KHARTOUM, Sudan: Feb. 23rd. (NY Times) — Amid the international outrage over the bloodshed in Darfur, frustration has increasingly turned toward China, Sudan’s biggest trading partner and international protector, culminating in Steven Spielberg’s decision last week to withdraw as artistic adviser to the Beijing Olympics. And it may be working. China has begun shifting its position on Darfur, stepping outside its diplomatic comfort zone to quietly push Sudan to accept the world’s largest peacekeeping force, diplomats and analysts say. It has also acted publicly, sending engineers to help peacekeepers in Darfur and appointing a special envoy to the region who has toured refugee camps and pressed the Sudanese government to change its policies. Few analysts expect China to walk away from its business ties to Sudan, but its willingness to take up the issue is a rare venture into something China swears it never does — meddle in the internal affairs of its trading partners. “China in my view has been very cooperative,” said Andrew S. Natsios, the former special envoy of President Bush to Sudan. “The level of coordination and cooperation has been improving each month.”

For all of China’s billion-dollar oil contracts, multimillion-dollar arms shipments and Security Council veto protection of Sudan, the global power with the biggest influence over the country has scarcely a dime invested here, has no ambassador on Sudanese soil and has slapped progressively tougher sanctions on its government: the United States. While conventional wisdom holds that the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan have sapped America’s prestige and power, especially in Muslim countries, the United States remains the gatekeeper to international respectability in the eyes of the Sudanese government, and its power to influence top officials here — through threats or inducements — remains unmatched, diplomats, Sudanese government officials and analysts say. “Coming to some sort of agreement with the United States is the Holy Grail of Sudanese politics,” said a senior Western diplomat in Khartoum, who was not authorized to speak publicly. “No one has been able to deliver it.” This holds true though Sudan is awash in investments from Asia and the gulf that would, in theory, allow the oil-rich but development-poor country to prosper more broadly than it has despite American opprobrium.

American approval and acceptance would transform Sudan in a way the billions of dollars from China, India, Malaysia, Iran and the gulf have been unable to: by opening the spigots of Western development aid and with it a deal to reduce its nearly $30 billion in external debt, along with technical assistance to manage the tide of money rushing in. “We are receiving billions of dollars in foreign investment that we are not even prepared to absorb,” said Ali al-Sadig, a senior diplomat and Sudanese government spokesman who worked on the China desk of Sudan’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs for many years. “We don’t have the capacity. We need Western expertise. Sudan wants, above all, a normal relationship with the United States and the West.” But the Bush administration seems divided on what to do about Darfur. On one hand, there is heavy pressure from advocacy groups, Congress and others to take a tough line with Sudan, stepping up sanctions and hammering the government over new attacks.

At the same time, because Sudan is a crucial ally of the United States in fighting terrorism, some in the administration argue that it cannot be allowed to become more isolated and further beyond the West’s orbit than it already is, diplomats and analysts say. Sudan’s relationship with the West has been troubled ever since Omar al-Bashir seized power in 1989 and embraced militant Islam, playing host to a variety of jihadists, including Osama bin Laden. The relationship hit its lowest in 1998 when the Clinton administration bombed a Khartoum pharmaceutical factory it claimed was producing chemical weapons, though the allegation has never been proved. After Sept. 11, Sudan reached out to the United States, realizing that it could find itself in the cross hairs of America’s military might just as Taliban-controlled Afghanistan and Iraq later did. The two countries have since cooperated on counterterrorism issues, even though Sudan remains on an American list of nations that sponsor terrorism. Mr. Bush sent John C. Danforth, the former Missouri senator, to help negotiate a deal to end the civil war in southern Sudan that had lasted two decades and claimed two million lives. Sudan had many reasons for wanting to end the war — its military was exhausted, and a stalemate was helping neither side — but the chance to improve relations with the United States was a big inducement for Sudan’s government. Then “Darfur happened,” the diplomat said.

At first, the conflict in Darfur seemed a fly in the ointment, a distraction from the main work of securing peace between the north and south. But five years later, the Darfur crisis is undermining the peace agreement and threatens to tear Sudan apart. More than 200,000 have died in Darfur, according to international estimates, and 2.5 million have been pushed into camps here and in Chad, sowing chaos in one of the world’s poorest regions. Sudan’s government says the toll has been greatly exaggerated. The conflict has also inspired one of the largest protest movements in the United States since the battle to end apartheid in South Africa. China, with its vast commercial interests and sensitivity to criticism around the Olympics, presents a unique leverage point for this movement. Like Mr. Spielberg, Mia Farrow, an actress and Darfur activist, has said China can do more, specifically by pushing for the full deployment of 27,000 peacekeeping troops in Darfur, supplying some of the helicopters needed for the mission and demanding an end to aerial bombardment of civilian areas. But some diplomats and analysts argue that offering concessions, not demands — a chance to come off the state sponsor of terrorism list or easing sanctions — may offer the best opportunity to get Sudan’s government to strike a deal in Darfur.

There are grave risks to that strategy, not least of which is that Sudan’s government has a history of making agreements and not fully putting them in place. “What this government responds to is pressure,” Jerry Fowler, executive director of the Save Darfur Coalition, said of Sudan’s leaders. As a senior Western diplomat in Khartoum put it, the West’s stance on Sudan must be “mistrust but verify,” a twist on Reagan’s posture on the Soviet Union. Furthermore, the Sudanese government is far from unanimous in its craving for international respectability. The small cadre who have ruled this country since the National Islamic Front seized power in a coup in 1989 have tried a variety of guises — radical Islamism, Arab nationalism and garden variety despotism — in their quest to hang on to power. The relative moderates who were crucial to negotiating a deal with the south have been largely sidelined, and analysts and diplomats say that hard-liners in the military and elsewhere are increasingly less interested in Western ties.

As for China, analysts warn, there are limits to how far it will go. Olympics or no, China’s leadership simply has too much at stake in Sudan. “Their political fortunes are tied to their ability to deliver a constant stream of economic goods at home,” said Christopher Alden, a senior lecturer at the London School of Economics who has studied China-Africa relations. “They can’t say, ‘O.K., we have sunk billions over the long term in Sudan and we are just going to walk away from it because of Darfur.’ It is just not going to happen.” China, along with Iran, Russia and others, is still selling weapons to Sudan. While China says it is abiding by a United Nations embargo on sending weapons directly to Darfur, an analysis of shell casings and vehicles found in Darfur by a panel of United Nations experts found that Chinese weapons were making their way to Darfur. Fractures among the rebel groups in Darfur and threats from Sudan’s neighbors, like Chad, may have more impact on the quest for peace than anything Washington or Beijing does. Still, John Prendergast, a former Clinton administration official, advocate and writer on Sudan for two decades, said that China and the United States needed to be engaged. “Unless China and the U.S. are both exerting much more pressure on Sudan, the crisis will continue to spiral out of control,” he said in an e-mail message. “China has unique economic leverage, while the U.S. retains leverage based on its ability to confer or withdraw legitimacy.”
By Lydia Polgreen
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